The aim of this project is to explore how to:
1. make anthropogenic climate change relevant for people in urban and rural contexts,
2. enable development of optional pathways and
3. develop measures tailored to face the climate change challenge.
The study engaged stakeholders in four Swedish municipalities. Stakeholders identified historical leverage points and shared their views on management strategies in their local forests. The research team compiled these insights into four forest management scenarios: Close-To-Nature (emphasizing biodiversity conservation), Classic Management (optimizing livelihoods for forest owners), Intensified (maximized harvested wood), and Combined (measures from Close-To-Nature and Intensified). The scenarios were then modelled for local forest landscapes over a 100-year simulation period.
The modelling effort helped stakeholders think through preferred management strategies, although there was no consensus. As a whole, the study highlights the need to focus on specific contexts when investigating transformation, and demonstrates the value of local collaborations.
The scenarios were made in: 2019
The scenarios look out to: 2120