Using a qualitative and quantitative approach, we analysed drivers of land-use impacting the Lestolet watershed (north-west of France) between 2006 and 2020. We investigated the impact of scenarios on public decision-making.
Although models excluded some drivers of land cover change, the scenarios impacted local water management and other social variables. This study provides an overview of the outcomes of scenarios and influencing factors. Moreover, we give recommendations for different stages of the scenario-building process to enhance scenario outcomes.
The assessment verified that the scenarios supported definition of a local water management strategy, and helped land managers recognize the challenges and opportunities faced by local farmers.
The scenarios were made in: 2006
The scenarios look out to: 2020
