Incremental scenario case studies across Europe

Scenario work that has been done in the case study sites: Dordrecht (NL), Jade Bay (DE), Bergen (NO), Golfe du Morbihan (FR), and Kerourien/Brest (FR)

Project facts


We conducted case studies using a novel incremental scenario approach. With local actors, we co-developed visions of desirable futures, normative scenarios that might lead towards those futures, and inventoried ‘hinge points’: critical moments in time where things might lead to a better or worse future. To bridge the latter, specific information or climate services might be needed. The cases showed that the new approach could be applied and tailored successfully in a variety of situations. The novel notion of hinge points allowed us to inventory critical challenges and ambitions relevant to the local situation: climate-related as well as key socio-economic, legal, policy/political, and technological ones. It also resulted an inventory of key information and climate service needs.

The scenarios were made in: 2019

The scenarios look out to: 2050

Submitted by:

Mandy Van den Ende
Project Leader
March 31, 2021

How to cite this page:

Mandy Van den Ende
Incremental scenario case studies across Europe
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